Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:30:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x0540…902c crypto 85 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$44 (-22%) realized −$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -24% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate41%35W / 50L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day53.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-31.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -45.5% -50.7% 32% 32% -50.5%
≤30d 85 -24.2% -31.4% 41% 36% -32.0%
≤90d 85 -24.2% -31.4% 41% 36% -32.0%
all 85 -24.2% -31.4% 41% 36% -32.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.4% 36% -32.0%
10% ← realistic here -38.0% 36% -38.5%
15% -44.0% 33% -44.5%
20% -49.5% 28% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -24% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses35 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 85
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day53.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 85 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 155 history records