Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:52:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x053e…2d91 crypto 1369 markets active 1d ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (122 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$22 (-1%) realized −$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate61%816W / 520L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day122.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$33
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (122 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 312 -11.7% -20.1% 60% 60% -17.9%
≤30d 1336 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 61% -10.2%
≤90d 1336 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 61% -10.2%
all 1336 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 61% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover122.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 61% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 59% -18.8%
15% -27.8% 40% -26.7%
20% -34.9% 25% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.62 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses816 / 520
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1336 / 1369
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day122.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1336 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2221 history records