Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0537…4804
other · 36 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses10 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage300d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $82 +$1 +1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 11 $40 +$1 +3%
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22? Aug 24 $5 $0 +1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Aug 23 $6 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Aug 23 $41 $0 +0%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Aug 23 $37 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? Aug 23 $8 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 23 $8 $0 +0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025? Aug 23 $8 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? Aug 23 $8 $0 +0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? Aug 22 $8 $0 -1%
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 Aug 22 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August? Aug 22 $37 $0 +0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Aug 22 $22 $0 -2%
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 22 $18 $0 +0%
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? Aug 21 $41 $0 +0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 21 $46 $0 +0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 21 $5 $0 +0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 21 $5 $0 +0%
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? Aug 20 $5 $0 +0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Aug 20 $5 $0 +0%
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open? Aug 20 $5 $0 +0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 19 $5 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Aug 19 $5 $0 +0%
Will Zuriel Oduwole win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 19 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August? Aug 18 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August? Aug 18 $9 $0 +0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 18 $38 $0 +0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 18 $41 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 18 $5 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Aug 17 $46 $0 +0%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 17 $15 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22? Aug 17 $34 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 17 $12 $0 +0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 17 $46 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 33% $0
other 19% $0
world 17% +$2
crypto 14% $0
tech 8% $0
economics 6% $0
culture 2% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $42 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $42 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 16h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 18h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $41 20h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $40 22h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 65¢ $41 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 63¢ $40 2d
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 92¢ $5 293d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? SELL No 99¢ $41 293d
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 92¢ $5 293d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? BUY No 99¢ $41 293d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 91¢ $37 293d
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? SELL No 98¢ $8 293d
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? BUY No 98¢ $8 293d
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 96¢ $8 293d
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 96¢ $8 294d
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025? SELL No 96¢ $8 294d
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025? BUY No 96¢ $8 294d
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? SELL No 99¢ $8 294d
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? BUY No 99¢ $8 294d
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $8 294d
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $8 294d
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 SELL No 97¢ $5 294d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY No 90¢ $37 294d
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August? SELL No 99¢ $37 294d
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August? BUY No 99¢ $37 295d
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 295d
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 10¢ $4 295d
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? SELL Yes 10¢ $4 295d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +1.5% -8.2% 67% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 3 +1.5% -8.2% 67% 0% -7.8%
≤90d 3 +1.5% -8.2% 67% 0% -7.8%
all 36 +0.1% -9.4% 28% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.1% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 94 history records