Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:13:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
05 0x0533…56ff crypto 1674 markets active 1h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (167 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$296 (-4%) realized −$296 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate59%924W / 645L
Drawdown56%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day166.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$171
7 days+$16
14 days+$140
30 days+$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$336
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (167 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 862 +0.1% -9.4% 52% 50% -8.9%
≤30d 1569 +1.0% -8.6% 59% 48% -7.5%
≤90d 1569 +1.0% -8.6% 59% 48% -7.5%
all 1569 +1.0% -8.6% 59% 48% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover166.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 48% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 44% -16.4%
15% -25.3% 38% -24.5%
20% -32.7% 33% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$296
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses924 / 645
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1569 / 1674
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day166.9
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1569 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records