Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:52:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0528…ca3f
crypto · 221 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,417 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,847 · open +$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,771
Realized+$3,847
Unrealized+$26
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses108 / 112
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)220 / 221
History coverage67d
Avg bet$994
Trades / day41.9
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 220 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$327
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 87¢ 88¢ $2,745 $2,771 +$26 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $5,150 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $325 +$4 +1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $4,625 $0 +0%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 02 $74 $0 +0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $3,946 +$187 +5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele May 29 $5,500 $0 +0%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? May 29 $3,985 −$36 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $15,922 +$176 +1%
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? May 28 $20 +$2 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? May 22 $203 −$2 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? May 22 $287 −$4 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 28? May 05 $117 −$16 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28? May 05 $1,306 +$26 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 28? May 05 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28? May 05 $107 −$6 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28? May 05 $351 −$149 -42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 28? May 05 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? May 05 $506 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $2,386 +$35 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $4,516 +$50 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $301 −$120 -40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $302 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $986 +$23 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $192 +$9 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $3,287 +$85 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $6,838 +$135 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $146 +$656 +450%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $110 −$1 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $102 −$102 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $427 −$24 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $313 −$10 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $898 −$631 -70%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $163 −$62 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $368 −$18 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27? Apr 27 $325 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24? Apr 27 $1,233 +$2,884 +234%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $6,398 +$43 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $109 −$3 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $234 −$5 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $111 −$2 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $632 −$502 -79%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $3,536 −$272 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $772 −$23 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $1,046 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $898 −$18 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $794 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26? Apr 26 $1,262 −$48 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$3,509
world 12% +$393
politics 9% −$35
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 89¢ $36 0m
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 89¢ $361 8m
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 89¢ $224 17m
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $2,444 49m
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $874 49m
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 89¢ $810 1h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 87¢ $5 1h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 88¢ $15 1h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 88¢ $127 1h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 88¢ $2,372 1h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $2,619 1h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $23 1h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 88¢ $31 2h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $435 2h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $87 2h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $175 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $23 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $11 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $8 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $11 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $8 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $124 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $124 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 76¢ $20 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $0 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $0 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $0 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $0 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)+1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.4% -9.1% 33% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 11 +1.3% -8.4% 45% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 220 +11.7% +1.1% 49% 6% -8.0%
all 220 +11.7% +1.1% 49% 6% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.1% 6% -8.0%
10% -8.6% 5% -16.8%
15% ← realistic here -17.4% 5% -24.9%
20% -25.5% 5% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,770.51 · official $2,770.51 (match) · 3500 history records