Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:18:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0524…1e15
crypto · 1021 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses969 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1021 / 1021
History coverage30d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1021 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$9
14 days−$30
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 93¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 98¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 95¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 69¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 95¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 69¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 96¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 89¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 94¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 95¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 94¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 96¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 97¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 82¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 92¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 85¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 97¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 88¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 87¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 96¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 90¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 92¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 97¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 93¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 521 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 1021 -0.8% -10.3% 95% 5% -10.0%
≤90d 1021 -0.8% -10.3% 95% 5% -10.0%
all 1021 -0.8% -10.3% 95% 5% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 5% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 2% -18.6%
15% -26.7% 1% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2041 history records