Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:07:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0521…fe95
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$6 +29%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +29%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +111%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% +$1
other 25% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $11 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +31.8% +19.3% 75% 75% +18.9%
≤30d 4 +31.8% +19.3% 75% 75% +18.9%
≤90d 4 +31.8% +19.3% 75% 75% +18.9%
all 4 +31.8% +19.3% 75% 75% +18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +19.3% 75% +18.9%
10% +7.9% 75% +7.5%
15% -2.6% 50% -2.9%
20% -12.1% 50% -12.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records