Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:39:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x0515…b61e
crypto · 144 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$19 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses90 / 54
Open positions0
Markets (closed)144 / 144
History coverage16d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$11
14 days−$6
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$13
other 8% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 -8.4% -17.1% 59% 44% -15.6%
≤30d 144 -6.1% -15.0% 62% 46% -14.3%
≤90d 144 -6.1% -15.0% 62% 46% -14.3%
all 144 -6.1% -15.0% 62% 46% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 46% -14.3%
10% -23.2% 36% -22.5%
15% -30.6% 22% -30.0%
20% -37.4% 15% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 256 history records