Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:03:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
05 0x050f…4bef crypto 63 markets active 6d ago coverage 177d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$164 (+1%) realized +$164 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate100%63W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$389per market
Trades / day0.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$161
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 4 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 16 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 63 +3.2% -6.6% 100% 3% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 3% -8.9%
10% -15.6% 3% -17.6%
15% -23.7% 3% -25.6%
20% -31.2% 3% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 34% · top 2 51% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +6% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

177d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses63 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage177d
Avg bet$389
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $29 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19? May 31 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14? May 18 $29 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10? May 13 $29 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4? May 10 $29 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25? May 04 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? Apr 24 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? Apr 17 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? Apr 15 $6,153 +$9 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? Apr 14 $6,139 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? Apr 14 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? Apr 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29? Apr 05 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21? Mar 29 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9? Mar 21 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4? Mar 09 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1? Mar 04 $70 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22? Mar 01 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? Feb 22 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2? Feb 11 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31? Feb 02 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 29? Jan 31 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 27? Jan 29 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 25? Jan 27 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 23? Jan 25 $69 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22? Jan 23 $68 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20? Jan 22 $68 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18? Jan 20 $68 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17? Jan 18 $68 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15? Jan 17 $68 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14? Jan 15 $67 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12? Jan 14 $67 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11? Jan 11 $67 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 10? Jan 11 $66 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 9? Jan 09 $66 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8? Jan 09 $66 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 7? Jan 07 $66 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6? Jan 06 $65 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 5? Jan 05 $65 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4? Jan 05 $65 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 3? Jan 04 $65 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 2? Jan 02 $64 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 1? Jan 01 $64 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 31? Dec 31 $64 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 30? Dec 30 $63 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 29? Dec 29 $62 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28? Dec 28 $62 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 27? Dec 27 $62 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 26? Dec 26 $62 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 17d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $22 29d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 34d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10? BUY No 100¢ $29 38d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 44d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 54d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? BUY No 100¢ $30 61d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? SELL Yes 100¢ $3,083 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,080 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,552 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,528 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $258 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $427 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $427 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $235 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $397 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $427 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $30 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $834 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $40 63d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $3,073 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,071 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,762 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,309 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,068 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? BUY No 100¢ $70 66d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? BUY No 100¢ $70 73d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $70 80d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 158 history records