Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:53:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

05
0x050d…e34b
sports · 7 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$2 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $8 −$1 -7%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$8 +75%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $17 −$9 -55%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$9
other 43% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL United States 21¢ $2 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL Paraguay 69¢ $2 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 32¢ $1 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL United States 82¢ $4 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 22¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $6 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 45¢ $5 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 92¢ $4 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 74¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 73¢ $5 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $6 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 19¢ $0 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 19¢ $6 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 13h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 13h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain BUY 3¢ $5 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 24h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 59¢ $10 24h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +14.1% +3.2% 60% 60% -7.4%
≤30d 5 +14.1% +3.2% 60% 60% -7.4%
≤90d 5 +14.1% +3.2% 60% 60% -7.4%
all 5 +14.1% +3.2% 60% 60% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.2% 60% -7.4%
10% -6.7% 40% -16.2%
15% -15.7% 40% -24.3%
20% -24.0% 20% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.44 · official $20.44 · 26 history records