trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -36.6% | -42.6% | 0% | 0% | -14.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 25% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -37.9% | -43.8% | 25% | 12% | -13.7% |
| all | 18 | -62.4% | -66.0% | 17% | 11% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -66.0% | 11% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -69.2% | 6% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -72.2% | 0% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -74.9% | 0% | -37.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $21 | $2 | −$19 (-91%) |
| Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-92%) |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 12 | $475 | −$16 | -4% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $101 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | May 17 | $3 | −$2 | -70% |
| Wrestlefest: “The Demon” Finn Bálor vs. Dominik Mysterio | Apr 19 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 07 | $8 | −$3 | -42% |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Mar 27 | $9 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26? | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26? | Feb 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Feb 22 | $4 | −$3 | -76% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Feb 20 | $3 | −$2 | -69% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | Feb 05 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMM | Feb 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual G | Feb 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual | Feb 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Ann | Feb 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |