Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:54:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x04d8…bbb0
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$32 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days+$63
14 days+$63
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $76 −$3 -4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $178 +$99 +55%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $72 −$29 -40%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$3 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 56¢ $73 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $76 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $276 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $178 4h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $43 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 19¢ $12 5h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $72 6h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $15 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -2.5% -11.8% 25% 25% +7.3%
≤30d 4 -2.5% -11.8% 25% 25% +7.3%
≤90d 4 -2.5% -11.8% 25% 25% +7.3%
all 4 -2.5% -11.8% 25% 25% +7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 25% +7.3%
10% -20.2% 25% -3.0%
15% -27.9% 25% -12.4%
20% -35.0% 25% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records