Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x04d8…f690
sports · 144 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses60 / 76
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions8
Markets (closed)136 / 144
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day54.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 8 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Martin Landaluce 69¢ 56¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-20%)
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 40¢ 32¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-19%)
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 77¢ 92¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 37¢ 28¢ $6 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 40¢ 54¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+34%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Marc-Andrea Huesler 40¢ 44¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Enrico Dalla Valle 71¢ 42¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-42%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 25¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse Tamara Korpatsch 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? No 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? No 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Under 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald Ella McDonald 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? No 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $7 +$4 +58%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $3 +$5 +165%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 +$3 +124%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $3 +$3 +109%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $2 +$6 +262%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $3 +$3 +109%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $3 −$1 -41%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +73%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$5 +188%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$4 +114%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $3 +$31 +1116%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $3 +$5 +180%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +41%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$3 +83%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3 +$3 +103%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $3 +$3 +97%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $4 +$2 +70%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $3 +$3 +100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $6 +$1 +15%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$40
other 7% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 34¢ $3 22m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 33¢ $3 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 41¢ $3 26m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 40¢ $3 35m
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 77¢ $4 38m
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 40¢ $3 39m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 71¢ $4 42m
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova SELL Ashlyn Krueger 99¢ $11 45m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 4¢ $3 53m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 7¢ $3 55m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 70¢ $4 56m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 69¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 27¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 31¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 63¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 61¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 19¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 50¢ $3 2h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 36¢ $3 3h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 37¢ $3 15h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 15h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 59¢ $3 15h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 40¢ $3 18h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 28¢ $3 19h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 60¢ $3 19h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $3 19h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY No 54¢ $3 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 19h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $3 20h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 57¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -2.7% -11.9% 44% 44% -10.3%
≤30d 136 -2.7% -11.9% 44% 44% -10.3%
≤90d 136 -2.7% -11.9% 44% 44% -10.3%
all 136 -2.7% -11.9% 44% 44% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 44% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 43% -18.9%
15% -28.1% 43% -26.7%
20% -35.1% 40% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.91 · official $28.91 (match) · 267 history records