Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:46:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x04ab…0104
other · 266 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses11 / 255
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)266 / 266
History coverage135d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$17
14 days−$25
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $371 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $397 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $248 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $109 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $280 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 13 $502 −$2 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 13 $321 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $503 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $132 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $317 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $244 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $326 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $274 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $269 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $327 −$1 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $54 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $538 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $178 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $54 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $307 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $525 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $68 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $451 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $55 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $141 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $351 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $253 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 08 $494 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $464 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $56 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $239 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $129 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $208 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 05 $429 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $283 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $270 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 04 $749 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $57 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $264 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $190 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $58 $0 -1%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $186 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 02 $350 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $273 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $317 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $289 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $490 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $242 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% −$43
sports 24% −$15
politics 9% −$8
culture 7% −$9
economics 7% −$13
crypto 5% −$7
world 4% −$1
tech 2% −$3
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 43m
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 1h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 3h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $52 4h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $52 6h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $52 7h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $52 10h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $52 11h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 12h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $52 13h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $52 15h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $52 17h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $52 18h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $53 20h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $53 22h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $53 23h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $53 24h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $53 25h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $53 30h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $53 31h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 34h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $53 36h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $53 37h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $53 39h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $53 43h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $53 45h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $53 46h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $53 2d
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 2d
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 76 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 188 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
all 266 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1415 history records