trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -47.9% | -52.8% | 50% | 0% | -35.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -65.9% | -69.1% | 21% | 7% | -75.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -65.9% | -69.1% | 21% | 7% | -75.4% |
| all | 14 | -65.9% | -69.1% | 21% | 7% | -75.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -69.1% | 7% | -75.4% |
| 10% | -72.1% | 7% | -77.8% |
| 15% | -74.8% | 7% | -79.9% |
| 20% | -77.3% | 7% | -81.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $2 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | -36% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in May? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May? | Jun 06 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May? | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May? | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |