Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0494…631f
crypto · 1785 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$698 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$695 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$695
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses968 / 650
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1618 / 1785
History coverage52d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day44.4
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 1618 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$133
7 days+$365
14 days+$686
30 days+$788
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 80¢ 98¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 43¢ 70¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+62%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 42¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+23%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +181%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$5 +205%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$7 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +190%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$17 +331%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +124%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$10 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +173%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$580
other 5% +$107
sports 3% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 +6.5% -3.6% 50% 49% -1.2%
≤30d 1509 +5.8% -4.3% 61% 59% -3.0%
≤90d 1618 +4.2% -5.7% 60% 57% -4.1%
all 1618 +4.2% -5.7% 60% 57% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 57% -4.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 46% -13.2%
15% -23.0% 30% -21.6%
20% -30.5% 23% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.75 · official $11.75 (match) · 3500 history records