Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:33:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0493…58b6
crypto · 170 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$65 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$64
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses113 / 56
Open positions1
Markets (closed)169 / 170
History coverage8d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day41.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$50
14 days−$64
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 91¢ 82¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-9%)
Ethereum above 1,610 on June 7, 10AM ET? No 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 9AM ET? No 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 3AM ET? No 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,530 on June 7, 3AM ET? No 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 8, 2AM ET? No 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 3AM ET? No 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 3AM ET? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 3AM ET? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 4AM ET? No 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$14 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$12 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 +0.5% -9.1% 68% 45% -11.6%
≤30d 169 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 44% -12.2%
≤90d 169 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 44% -12.2%
all 169 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 44% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 44% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 10% -20.6%
15% -26.6% 5% -28.3%
20% -33.8% 4% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.96 · official $8.42 (match) · 333 history records