Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0484…1b1a
crypto · 90 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$324 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$315 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized−$315
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses50 / 117
Whale WR (big bets)24%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)167 / 90
History coverage1d
Avg bet$863
Trades / day3411.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$315
7 days−$315
14 days−$315
30 days−$315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 56¢ 64¢ $50 $57 +$7 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 46¢ 36¢ $41 $33 −$9 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$36 +55832%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$12 -283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$46 +82338%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$56 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$99 +3626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$54 +752%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$12 -15200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$51 -161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$66 -405%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$11 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$46 +15560%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$37 +447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$39 +1822%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$25 +291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$83 +190912%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$63 +80803%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$49 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$79 -144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$30 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$18 -408%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$29 -182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$108 +101264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$35 +447%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $33 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $23 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $13 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $48 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $53 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $24 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $52 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $50 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $53 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)+109.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 +131.8% +109.7% 30% 15% -10.3%
≤30d 167 +131.8% +109.7% 30% 15% -10.3%
≤90d 167 +131.8% +109.7% 30% 15% -10.3%
all 167 +131.8% +109.7% 30% 15% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3411.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +109.7% 15% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here +89.6% 15% -18.9%
15% +71.3% 15% -26.7%
20% +54.5% 14% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.00 · official $90.00 (match) · 3500 history records