Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x045d…185d
sports · 780 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$589 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$254 · open −$863
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,007
Realized+$254
Unrealized−$863
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses448 / 311
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$1,620
Open positions21
Markets (closed)759 / 780
History coverage371d
Avg bet$293
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 21 History 759 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days+$1,318
14 days+$894
30 days+$616
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 76¢ 100¢ $160 $210 +$50 (+31%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 89¢ 90¢ $90 $91 +$1 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 87¢ 84¢ $90 $87 −$3 (-3%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Gen.G 79¢ 79¢ $80 $80 +$0 (+0%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 92¢ 92¢ $60 $60 −$0 (-1%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 54¢ 53¢ $60 $58 −$2 (-3%)
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 58¢ 60¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+3%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 83¢ 81¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+3%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 82¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+2%)
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 23¢ 28¢ $30 $36 +$6 (+20%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+6%)
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 62¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+4%)
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 43¢ 0¢ $650 $1 −$649 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) T1 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 61¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 50¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 37¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $294 +$272 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $264 −$260 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $161 +$53 +33%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $121 +$63 +52%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $243 +$127 +52%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $80 +$18 +23%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $61 +$38 +63%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $61 +$21 +34%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $51 +$74 +146%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $61 +$67 +109%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $51 −$33 -65%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $71 +$11 +15%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $81 −$80 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $623 +$1,048 +168%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $71 +$29 +42%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $660 −$646 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $203 +$161 +79%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $193 +$240 +124%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $255 −$250 -98%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $212 +$33 +16%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $41 −$40 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $101 −$51 -51%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $61 −$60 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $193 −$190 -98%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) Jun 07 $153 −$150 -98%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) Jun 06 $102 +$134 +132%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $293 +$38 +13%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $152 +$44 +29%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $253 +$175 +69%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $172 +$99 +58%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $293 +$37 +13%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $101 +$1 +0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $141 +$41 +29%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $101 +$80 +79%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $61 +$25 +42%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $141 +$69 +49%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $101 +$27 +27%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 06 $101 +$62 +61%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $61 −$60 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $70 +$9 +13%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 05 $151 +$52 +34%
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 05 $41 +$50 +124%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $50 +$16 +32%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) Jun 03 $100 +$16 +16%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) Jun 03 $50 +$19 +38%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $61 +$46 +76%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $50 +$11 +23%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $60 +$10 +17%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $131 +$40 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$3,402
other 5% +$3,119
world 1% −$208
politics 0% −$17
crypto 0% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 51¢ $51 27m
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 79¢ $81 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $50 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 87¢ $90 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $60 1h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $61 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 89¢ $90 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $101 3h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 45¢ $40 3h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 54¢ $122 3h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 50¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 38¢ $51 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 29¢ $10 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $51 3h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 52¢ $51 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 69¢ $50 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $31 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $51 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $112 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $102 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $31 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $82 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 7¢ $10 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $61 5h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 77¢ $70 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $41 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 44¢ $31 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $31 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 55¢ $101 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $30 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +16.4% +5.3% 72% 70% +8.2%
≤30d 135 +3.7% -6.2% 67% 65% -6.2%
≤90d 630 -10.2% -18.7% 54% 51% -17.5%
all 759 +2.8% -7.0% 59% 57% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 57% -9.4%
10% -15.9% 47% -18.1%
15% -24.0% 35% -26.0%
20% -31.5% 23% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,007.24 · official $1,007.25 (match) · 2586 history records