Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0453…12fb
other · 3 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$98 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$170
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$78
14 days+$78
30 days+$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $203 −$20 -10%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $204 +$96 +47%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $102 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 50¢ $183 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $101 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $101 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 42¢ $222 6h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $78 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 26¢ $102 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 30¢ $102 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 18¢ $105 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $102 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +13.0% +2.2% 67% 33% +4.3%
≤30d 3 +13.0% +2.2% 67% 33% +4.3%
≤90d 3 +13.0% +2.2% 67% 33% +4.3%
all 3 +13.0% +2.2% 67% 33% +4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.2% 33% +4.3%
10% -7.5% 33% -5.7%
15% -16.5% 33% -14.8%
20% -24.7% 0% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records