trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +11.1% | +0.6% | 50% | 33% | -17.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +11.1% | +0.6% | 50% | 33% | -17.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +11.1% | +0.6% | 50% | 33% | -17.2% |
| all | 15 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 40% | 27% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.5% | 27% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -15.5% | 27% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -23.6% | 27% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -31.1% | 20% | -37.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $303 | −$53 | -17% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $103 | +$240 | +233% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$21 | -20% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$20 | -19% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$8 | -80% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1,000 | +$36 | +4% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1,005 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $306 | +$484 | +158% |
| Spread: South Africa (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $500 | +$11 | +2% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $348 | +$151 | +43% |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Jan 24 | $1,000 | −$785 | -78% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 24 | $12,055 | −$23 | -0% |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | Nov 07 | $1,100 | −$58 | -5% |