Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0449…31fa
crypto · 473 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$717 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$717 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$717
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses157 / 316
Open positions0
Markets (closed)473 / 473
History coverage16d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day54.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 473 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$114
14 days−$466
30 days−$717
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$704
other 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $15 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-43.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 187 -14.8% -22.9% 47% 44% -20.8%
≤30d 473 -37.2% -43.2% 33% 32% -39.4%
≤90d 473 -37.2% -43.2% 33% 32% -39.4%
all 473 -37.2% -43.2% 33% 32% -39.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.2% 32% -39.4%
10% ← realistic here -48.6% 30% -45.2%
15% -53.6% 27% -50.5%
20% -58.1% 23% -55.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 884 history records