Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0433…7c73
crypto · 181 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses89 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)181 / 181
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$46
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -12.7% -21.0% 45% 45% -20.0%
≤30d 181 -5.7% -14.7% 49% 49% -13.3%
≤90d 181 -5.7% -14.7% 49% 49% -13.3%
all 181 -5.7% -14.7% 49% 49% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 49% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 49% -21.6%
15% -30.3% 49% -29.2%
20% -37.1% 49% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 333 history records