Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x041b…d3eb
sports · 1247 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,176 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,666 · open −$426
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$495
Realized−$4,666
Unrealized−$426
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses633 / 610
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$5,113
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1243 / 1247
History coverage68d
Avg bet$250
Trades / day37.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 4 History 1243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,096
7 days+$27
14 days−$791
30 days−$7,098
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 67¢ 66¢ $230 $225 −$5 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 57¢ 46¢ $266 $212 −$54 (-20%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 45¢ 12¢ $225 $58 −$168 (-74%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $262 +$63 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $204 −$118 -58%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $634 +$67 +11%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $101 −$51 -50%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $204 +$378 +185%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $203 +$162 +80%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $263 +$131 +50%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $204 +$236 +116%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $203 +$257 +126%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $202 +$77 +38%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $202 +$126 +62%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $253 +$138 +55%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $202 +$80 +40%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $203 −$203 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $352 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $202 +$115 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $506 +$47 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $201 +$37 +18%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $403 +$285 +71%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $254 +$296 +116%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $101 +$67 +66%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $203 −$118 -58%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $256 −$160 -62%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $358 −$213 -59%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $101 +$40 +40%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $134 +$86 +64%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $198 +$43 +22%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $97 −$7 -7%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $86 +$4 +5%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $86 −$85 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $88 −$71 -82%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $107 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $193 +$155 +80%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $137 +$57 +42%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $98 +$39 +40%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $181 +$27 +15%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $91 −$7 -8%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $51 −$2 -4%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $80 +$16 +20%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $51 −$11 -20%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $142 −$142 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $107 −$31 -29%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $51 −$35 -70%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $97 +$30 +31%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $107 +$40 +37%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $89 +$37 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $89 −$89 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$2,000
other 5% −$2,937
world 0% +$104
finance 0% −$205
weather 0% −$40
crypto 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $269 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 67¢ $232 51m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $229 54m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $325 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 80¢ $262 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 18¢ $86 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 40¢ $213 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 61¢ $101 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 98¢ $300 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 75¢ $232 1h
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) SELL Rybakina 4¢ $1 1h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $582 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 89¢ $340 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 41¢ $204 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $203 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $394 3h
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) SELL Rybakina 39¢ $49 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 84¢ $204 3h
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) BUY Rybakina 61¢ $101 6h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $201 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $263 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $204 6h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 34¢ $204 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $203 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 84¢ $440 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $460 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $279 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $203 12h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $202 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 49% -9.4%
≤30d 649 -9.1% -17.8% 51% 49% -15.8%
≤90d 1243 -6.0% -14.9% 51% 49% -10.9%
all 1243 -6.0% -14.9% 51% 49% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 49% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 44% -19.4%
15% -30.5% 37% -27.2%
20% -37.3% 29% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $494.93 · official $494.93 (match) · 3044 history records