trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.4% | -6.5% | 100% | 0% | -6.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 75% | 33% | +5.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 73% | 23% | -0.8% |
| all | 27 | -12.2% | -20.5% | 70% | 26% | -0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.5% | 26% | -0.4% |
| 10% | -28.1% | 22% | -9.9% |
| 15% | -35.1% | 19% | -18.6% |
| 20% | -41.5% | 11% | -26.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 74¢ | 95¢ | $1,935 | $2,462 | +$527 (+27%) |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 24¢ | 24¢ | $480 | $480 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $410 | $409 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 20¢ | 32¢ | $67 | $106 | +$39 (+59%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10¢ | 32¢ | $26 | $87 | +$61 (+230%) |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $2 | −$28 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 23 | $967 | +$33 | +3% |
| Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $610 | +$21 | +3% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $192 | +$8 | +4% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in June? | Jun 18 | $941 | +$44 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Jun 17 | $119 | +$43 | +36% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | Jun 17 | $52 | +$22 | +43% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $393 | −$333 | -85% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | Jun 12 | $562 | −$559 | -99% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $184 | +$16 | +9% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $3,095 | +$2,101 | +68% |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May? | Jun 01 | $165 | +$135 | +82% |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Colum | May 31 | $894 | −$613 | -69% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 23 | $1,870 | +$130 | +7% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the | May 20 | $367 | +$14 | +4% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | May 20 | $233 | +$229 | +98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $55 | +$5 | +9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | May 17 | $69 | −$44 | -65% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $1,882 | +$51 | +3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | May 12 | $372 | −$366 | -98% |
| Another Canada election called by June 30? | May 10 | $39 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 9? | May 09 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 02 | $576 | +$24 | +4% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 28 | $476 | +$167 | +35% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | Feb 10 | $100 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 10 | $100 | +$11 | +11% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jan | Jan 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Jan 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |