Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:43:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03f1…50f3
crypto · 436 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,708 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,708 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,708
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses214 / 222
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)436 / 436
History coverage90d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 436 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$10
14 days−$190
30 days−$526
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$20 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $29 −$20 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$5 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $33 −$31 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $46 +$52 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $61 +$39 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $50 +$50 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $50 +$25 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,714
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -5.3% -14.3% 53% 51% -9.7%
≤30d 168 -11.1% -19.5% 51% 47% -17.4%
≤90d 435 -11.9% -20.3% 49% 38% -16.7%
all 436 -11.9% -20.3% 49% 38% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 38% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 32% -24.6%
15% -34.9% 28% -31.9%
20% -41.2% 23% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2667 history records