trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 36% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 36% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 50% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 89¢ | 90¢ | $35 | $35 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 24 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $44 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $71 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $76 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $112 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 07 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Dec 15 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April? | Apr 20 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 19 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in February? | Mar 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days? | Mar 11 | $13 | $0 | +0% |