trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 16 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $81 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 05 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 28 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | May 23 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 18 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $82 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 06 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 11 | $167 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | Apr 06 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 02 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 23 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Mar 18 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 15 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 09 | $84 | $0 | +0% |