Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:14:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03c2…2034
sports · 340 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$748 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$761 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$413
Realized−$761
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses64 / 211
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions39
Markets (closed)275 / 340
History coverage29d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day27.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 39 History 275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$123
7 days−$241
14 days−$301
30 days−$761
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 64¢ 68¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 62¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+2%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 93¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Spurs 92¢ 92¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 95¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Iraq 40¢ 40¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Under 26¢ 27¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 73¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Spurs 74¢ 74¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Over 91¢ 90¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 Under 78¢ 100¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+28%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Morocco 88¢ 86¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 58¢ 63¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jacob Fearnley 81¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+23%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 44¢ 96¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+119%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 83¢ 81¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 82¢ 82¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? No 24¢ 24¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 28¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-5%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 82¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Olimpia Milano 88¢ 98¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $78 −$59 -75%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $16 $0 -1%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 10 $48 −$21 -44%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 197.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $20 −$11 -53%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $10 −$1 -7%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $3 +$2 +78%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $8 $0 -6%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 −$1 -7%
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? Jun 10 $7 $0 -2%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $3 $0 -12%
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Jun 10 $4 +$2 +43%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 -6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $6 $0 -5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 $0 -5%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $20 +$16 +78%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $21 −$14 -66%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $9 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $20 +$3 +16%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $12 +$1 +4%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $20 +$5 +25%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $6 −$3 -49%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
ITF Zagreb: Adrienn Nagy vs Eszter Meri Jun 10 $20 +$9 +45%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $40 +$37 +92%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $20 +$12 +61%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $62 −$18 -29%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $3 +$2 +72%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $20 −$3 -15%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $20 −$1 -6%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $20 −$1 -5%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $20 +$1 +7%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $20 −$1 -5%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $20 −$12 -60%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 10 $20 +$1 +6%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $21 −$7 -32%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 10 $19 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$665
other 9% −$72
world 0% −$10
crypto 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $4 51m
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 94¢ $5 55m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 64¢ $15 56m
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia BUY Olimpia Milano 88¢ $6 57m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 44¢ $4 59m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 64¢ $2 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 64¢ $8 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 82¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 26¢ $19 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 81¢ $8 1h
Spread: Spain (-4.5) BUY Cabo Verde 83¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 80¢ $6 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 66¢ $20 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $5 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $9 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Francesco Forti 63¢ $4 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 36¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 80¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 80¢ $19 2h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 57¢ $3 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 57¢ $4 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $20 3h
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) BUY Spurs 74¢ $15 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 58¢ $10 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $20 3h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 58¢ $4 3h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 58¢ $3 3h
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $1 4h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 46¢ $6 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-42.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -5.0% -14.1% 32% 19% -21.0%
≤30d 275 -36.3% -42.4% 23% 17% -33.4%
≤90d 275 -36.3% -42.4% 23% 17% -33.4%
all 275 -36.3% -42.4% 23% 17% -33.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.4% 17% -33.4%
10% ← realistic here -47.9% 16% -39.8%
15% -52.9% 15% -45.6%
20% -57.6% 13% -50.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $412.88 · official $412.88 (match) · 812 history records