Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03b4…188b
crypto · 139 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$39 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses74 / 64
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)138 / 139
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day105.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$17
14 days−$56
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 92¢ 94¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -58%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Jun 13 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -30%
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? Jun 08 $1 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9PM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +5%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 7? Jun 08 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$17
sports 39% −$40
other 4% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 31h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 61¢ $1 31h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 60¢ $0 35h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 60¢ $0 35h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 60¢ $0 35h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 60¢ $0 35h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 60¢ $0 35h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 60¢ $0 35h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 37h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 58¢ $0 41h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 58¢ $0 41h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 58¢ $0 41h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 56¢ $0 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 44h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $0 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 44¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 48¢ $0 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -3.4% -12.6% 49% 20% -18.0%
≤30d 138 -5.3% -14.3% 54% 29% -22.0%
≤90d 138 -5.3% -14.3% 54% 29% -22.0%
all 138 -5.3% -14.3% 54% 29% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 29% -22.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 17% -29.5%
15% -30.0% 11% -36.3%
20% -36.9% 4% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.45 · official $4.45 (match) · 838 history records