Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:04:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03a0…5396
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$229 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$229 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses39 / 84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)123 / 123
History coverage1d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day505.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$229
7 days−$229
14 days−$229
30 days−$229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$23 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$30 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$119 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$13 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$19 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$97 +312%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$48 +480%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$86 +883%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$75 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $136 +$88 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$158 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$68 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $34 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $24 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $20 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $180 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $9 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $10 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-24.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -17.0% -24.9% 32% 28% -15.4%
≤30d 123 -17.0% -24.9% 32% 28% -15.4%
≤90d 123 -17.0% -24.9% 32% 28% -15.4%
all 123 -17.0% -24.9% 32% 28% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover505.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.9% 28% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.1% 27% -23.5%
15% -38.7% 24% -30.9%
20% -44.7% 21% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 623 history records