trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +9.6% | -0.9% | 89% | 44% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +9.6% | -0.9% | 89% | 44% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 68% | 20% | -8.8% |
| all | 25 | -5.4% | -14.4% | 68% | 20% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.4% | 20% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -22.6% | 8% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -30.1% | 8% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 4% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $230 | $230 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 90¢ | 88¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 21 | $130 | $0 | -0% |
| ITF Kutaisi: Oliver Johansson vs Vano Losaberidze | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Bengaluru 3: Grigoriy Lomakin vs Alex Hernandez | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomura | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 21 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Cont | Jun 21 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19? | Jun 21 | $30 | +$3 | +11% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? | Jun 21 | $30 | +$3 | +11% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19? | Jun 21 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 19 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 19 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19? | May 19 | $260 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10? | May 19 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9? | May 19 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | May 19 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 19 | $79 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9? | May 19 | $350 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? | Apr 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Apr 09 | $255 | +$5 | +2% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Mar 28 | $258 | −$3 | -1% |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | Mar 28 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31? | Mar 28 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | Mar 28 | $197 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 28 | $10 | +$6 | +61% |