Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0397…7a3e
sports · 23 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$45
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses5 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions17
Markets (closed)6 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 17 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 44¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 44¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 58¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 95¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 58¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+72%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) United States 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 82¢ 79¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% +$1
other 36% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 82¢ $1 15m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 95¢ $1 25m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 95¢ $1 25m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $1 35m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 20¢ $1 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 90¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 31¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 58¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 99¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 99¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 99¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 80¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 80¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 98¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 79¢ $1 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 27¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 90¢ $1 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 3h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 99¢ $1 3h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 97¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.1% -9.6% 83% 17% -9.8%
≤30d 6 -0.1% -9.6% 83% 17% -9.8%
≤90d 6 -0.1% -9.6% 83% 17% -9.8%
all 6 -0.1% -9.6% 83% 17% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 17% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 17% -18.5%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.74 · official $44.74 (match) · 62 history records