Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0381…00f6
sports · 212 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$50 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses117 / 95
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)212 / 212
History coverage107d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days+$216
14 days+$199
30 days+$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $101 +$12 +12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $51 +$16 +31%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $53 −$45 -85%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $117 +$227 +194%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $4 +$7 +162%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $5 +$1 +22%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $31 −$31 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $102 −$102 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $20 +$33 +162%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $39 +$65 +166%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $70 +$47 +67%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $15 +$10 +65%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $3 +$2 +54%
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw? Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 01 $7 +$6 +88%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Sta Jun 01 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $10 +$11 +112%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Quali May 30 $10 +$5 +49%
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualif May 30 $5 +$5 +99%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Q May 30 $30 +$26 +85%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $10 +$5 +51%
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? May 29 $4 −$1 -16%
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: St May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 28 $10 +$4 +41%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $10 +$7 +65%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $51 −$51 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $42 −$42 -100%
Valorant: 9z Team vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regula May 27 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $1 $0 +24%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act May 26 $5 +$4 +79%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $10 +$21 +206%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $42 −$42 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 May 25 $15 +$17 +110%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualif May 25 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 25 $30 +$34 +112%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs May 24 $3 +$3 +83%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 24 $10 +$9 +93%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 23 $2 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$73
other 2% −$22
crypto 1% +$3
politics 0% −$2
world 0% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 87¢ $46 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 89¢ $67 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 67¢ $66 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 50¢ $51 26h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 5¢ $8 39h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 19¢ $10 41h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 38¢ $43 41h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 99¢ $344 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 33¢ $83 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 33¢ $34 6d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL BIG 91¢ $11 6d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 34¢ $4 6d
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs SELL Barça eSports 75¢ $6 7d
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs BUY Barça eSports 60¢ $5 7d
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever SELL Atlanta Dream 2¢ $0 7d
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever BUY Atlanta Dream 50¢ $10 7d
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola BUY Luca Nardi 60¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY NRG 30¢ $31 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 50¢ $102 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 99¢ $53 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $20 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Berrettini 33¢ $10 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli SELL Flavio Cobolli 99¢ $104 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli BUY Flavio Cobolli 34¢ $31 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli BUY Flavio Cobolli 50¢ $8 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca SELL Jakub Mensik 100¢ $117 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 50¢ $9 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 51¢ $30 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 75¢ $30 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +62.7% +47.2% 80% 80% +50.6%
≤30d 104 +1.8% -7.9% 56% 56% -3.1%
≤90d 186 -3.9% -13.0% 56% 54% -6.3%
all 212 -4.9% -14.0% 55% 53% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 53% -7.3%
10% -22.2% 46% -16.2%
15% -29.7% 37% -24.3%
20% -36.6% 28% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 511 history records