Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x037c…a458
crypto · 115 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$217
Realized+$54
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses82 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)114 / 115
Avg bet$350
Trades / day3384.0
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$54
14 days+$54
30 days+$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 96¢ 96¢ $193 $193 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 4¢ 4¢ $31 $24 −$7 (-21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $305 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $402 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $355 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $451 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $508 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $596 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $601 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $303 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $328 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $219 −$19 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $349 −$12 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $596 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $424 −$10 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $458 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $698 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $693 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $601 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $436 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $360 −$10 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $295 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $508 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $408 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $328 −$18 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $401 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $28 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $74 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $23 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -1.3% -10.7% 72% 2% -9.4%
≤30d 114 -1.3% -10.7% 72% 2% -9.4%
≤90d 114 -1.3% -10.7% 72% 2% -9.4%
all 114 -1.3% -10.7% 72% 2% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3384.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 2% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 1% -18.1%
15% -27.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $217.49 · official $332.49 · 3500 history records