Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x037b…2f85
crypto · 301 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$99 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$35
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses84 / 217
Open positions0
Markets (closed)301 / 301
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$185
7 days−$87
14 days−$99
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$5 (+285%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 27¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$5 (+270%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 31¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$4 (+223%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 296 -6.9% -15.8% 28% 28% -20.6%
≤30d 301 -7.4% -16.2% 28% 28% -21.8%
≤90d 301 -7.4% -16.2% 28% 28% -21.8%
all 301 -7.4% -16.2% 28% 28% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 28% -21.8%
10% -24.2% 28% -29.3%
15% -31.6% 28% -36.1%
20% -38.3% 28% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.69 · official $34.70 (match) · 558 history records