trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 14 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | -21.0% |
| all | 14 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 50% | 50% | -21.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 50% | -21.0% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 50% | -28.6% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 50% | -35.5% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 50% | -41.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $536 | $804 | +$268 (+50%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $721 | $640 | −$80 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | May 16 | $41 | +$39 | +97% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | May 16 | $41 | +$39 | +97% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5 | May 16 | $35 | +$45 | +127% |
| Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5 | May 15 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 | May 14 | $168 | −$166 | -98% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | May 14 | $2 | +$2 | +105% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5 | May 14 | $50 | +$50 | +100% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5 | May 13 | $34 | −$33 | -98% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5 | May 13 | $46 | +$44 | +96% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 | May 13 | $78 | +$72 | +93% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 18.5 | May 12 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5 | May 12 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5 | May 12 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 | May 12 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |