trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -16.5% | -24.4% | 75% | 25% | -56.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 83% | 33% | -27.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 83% | 33% | -27.7% |
| all | 13 | -15.7% | -23.8% | 54% | 31% | -27.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -23.8% | 31% | -27.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -31.1% | 15% | -34.3% |
| 15% | -37.7% | 8% | -40.6% |
| 20% | -43.8% | 8% | -46.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $28,799 | −$28,773 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $18,011 | +$379 | +2% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $50 | +$14 | +27% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $7,658 | +$349 | +5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $36,100 | +$2,823 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $22,000 | +$2,589 | +12% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 04 | $1,000 | −$152 | -15% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 18 | $1,500 | −$1,500 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Jan 16 | $1,036 | +$1,155 | +112% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Jan 16 | $1,000 | +$222 | +22% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 16 | $1,500 | −$243 | -16% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Jan 14 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | Jan 13 | $100 | −$61 | -61% |