Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x034a…0469
crypto · 30 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$18 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses16 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)29 / 30
History coverage157d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 1 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +214%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $0 $0 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jan 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 58% −$4
other 27% −$4
sports 16% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +12.0% +1.4% 57% 50% -16.3%
≤30d 28 +12.0% +1.4% 57% 50% -16.3%
≤90d 28 +12.0% +1.4% 57% 50% -16.3%
all 29 +8.2% -2.1% 55% 48% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.1% 48% -23.0%
10% -11.5% 41% -30.3%
15% -20.0% 41% -37.1%
20% -27.9% 38% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.91 · official $9.91 (match) · 68 history records