Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0347…f63d
crypto · 1223 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$218 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$405 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$405
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses640 / 583
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1223 / 1223
History coverage66d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day35.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 1223 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$10
14 days−$11
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$391
other 5% −$10
tech 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -4.8% -13.9% 85% 34% -3.3%
≤30d 359 -0.6% -10.0% 77% 44% -7.6%
≤90d 1223 -6.0% -15.0% 52% 40% -14.3%
all 1223 -6.0% -15.0% 52% 40% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 40% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 28% -22.5%
15% -30.5% 23% -30.0%
20% -37.3% 20% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3465 history records