Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0346…52a5
sports · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$444,980 +72%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$449,089 · open −$4,109
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$440,426
Realized+$449,089
Unrealized−$4,109
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses34 / 289
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$2,293
Open positions144
Markets (closed)323 / 109
Avg bet$5,702
Trades / day3483.0
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 144 History 323 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$449,089
7 days+$449,089
14 days+$449,089
30 days+$449,089
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $158,985 $153,642 −$5,344 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $38,714 $39,356 +$641 (+2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 75¢ 76¢ $27,202 $27,238 +$35 (+0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $18,626 $18,750 +$125 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $17,424 $17,365 −$59 (-0%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $17,113 $17,081 −$33 (-0%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $10,892 $10,870 −$22 (-0%)
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $9,227 $10,405 +$1,178 (+13%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 72¢ 70¢ $10,087 $9,877 −$210 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $8,995 $9,109 +$114 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 68¢ $6,328 $6,338 +$10 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $6,219 $6,213 −$6 (-0%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 Over 88¢ 88¢ $5,882 $5,850 −$33 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Spain 73¢ 74¢ $4,779 $4,852 +$73 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 40¢ $4,581 $4,523 −$57 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? No 73¢ 74¢ $4,332 $4,362 +$30 (+1%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? No 62¢ 100¢ $2,452 $3,986 +$1,535 (+63%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 96¢ $3,628 $3,643 +$15 (+0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 92¢ $3,477 $3,505 +$28 (+1%)
Spread: Qatar (-2.5) Switzerland 99¢ 100¢ $3,299 $3,319 +$20 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $3,186 $3,160 −$26 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 78¢ 80¢ $3,042 $3,081 +$39 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 92¢ $3,057 $3,073 +$17 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 23¢ 22¢ $3,149 $3,045 −$104 (-3%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 91¢ 92¢ $2,698 $2,724 +$26 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $9,227 +$1,178 +13%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $189 −$189 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,030 +$575 +56%
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Jun 12 $427 −$427 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $585 +$295 +50%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $571 +$199 +35%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $598 +$51 +9%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $391 +$45 +11%
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) Jun 12 $175 −$175 -100%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) Jun 12 $118 +$29 +25%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5) Jun 12 $55 +$5 +9%
Spread: FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) Jun 12 $102 −$203 -200%
Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
SC Sagamihara vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Eyüpspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +177%
Ehime FC leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Spread: Fujieda MYFC (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Spread: Tochigi SC (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +15%
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Fredrikstad FK leading at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Spread: FC Imabari (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Al Najmah Saudi Club leading at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1011%
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5) Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $234 −$234 -100%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Myanmar vs. Guam: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Al Kholood Saudi Club leading at halftime? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1,347 −$1,347 -100%
Spread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bulgaria leading at halftime? Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Kōchi United SC vs. Ehime FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $21 −$42 -200%
Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5) Jun 12 $12 −$23 -200%
Spread: Roasso Kumamoto (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Kagoshima United FC vs. Roasso Kumamoto: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Gainare Tottori leading at halftime? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $486 −$486 -100%
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $26 −$53 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% +$339,193
sports 33% +$131,016
crypto 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? BUY No 53¢ $22 0m
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 74¢ $102 0m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $2 2m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $2 2m
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Türkiye 13¢ $1 4m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 32¢ $199 4m
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $11 6m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 22¢ $0 6m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $18 6m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 14¢ $0 7m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $54 7m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 16¢ $1 7m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $48 8m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 35¢ $2 8m
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $21 8m
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY No 82¢ $180 8m
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY No 55¢ $117 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 35¢ $1 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 35¢ $3 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 35¢ $3 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 35¢ $3 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 35¢ $3 9m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 35¢ $3 9m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $1 11m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 10¢ $0 12m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $16 13m
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 74¢ $22 13m
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 74¢ $13 13m
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 74¢ $22 13m
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 74¢ $3 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-62.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 323 -58.1% -62.1% 11% 7% +76.6%
≤30d 323 -58.1% -62.1% 11% 7% +76.6%
≤90d 323 -58.1% -62.1% 11% 7% +76.6%
all 323 -58.1% -62.1% 11% 7% +76.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3483.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.1% 7% +76.6%
10% -65.7% 6% +59.7%
15% ← realistic here -69.0% 5% +44.3%
20% -72.1% 5% +30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $440,425.73 · official $440,415.15 (match) · 3500 history records