Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:31:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
03 0x0345…584c crypto 776 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (142 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$826 (-4%) realized −$826 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate54%426W / 365L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day142.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$331
7 days−$325
14 days−$570
30 days−$1,940
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,537
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (142 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 207 +0.7% -8.9% 62% 39% -22.7%
≤30d 791 -5.1% -14.1% 54% 47% -18.3%
≤90d 791 -5.1% -14.1% 54% 47% -18.3%
all 791 -5.1% -14.1% 54% 47% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover142.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 47% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 44% -26.1%
15% -29.8% 41% -33.3%
20% -36.7% 38% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$26 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$826
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses426 / 365
Open positions0
Markets (closed)791 / 776
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day142.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 791 Trades
no open positions (243 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 19 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$21 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$35 +340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$12 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $31 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $31 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records