Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:30:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
03 0x0342…d5b2 sports 55 markets active 5d ago coverage 100d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist
Total PnL +$406 (+37%) realized +$406 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +34% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +21% what you keep after slip
Net edge+21%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate49%27W / 28L
Drawdown23%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day0.9pace
Fees−$22est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$33
14 days+$33
30 days+$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$382
other 0% −$2
crypto 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +81.8% +64.4% 100% 100% +64.5%
≤30d 13 +10.8% +0.2% 54% 46% +11.6%
≤90d 54 +30.6% +18.1% 48% 44% +21.5%
all 55 +33.5% +20.8% 49% 45% +21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +20.8% 45% +21.6%
10% +9.3% 44% +10.0%
15% -1.3% 44% -0.6%
20% -11.0% 44% -10.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +34% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +34% · $-wt +34% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +55% → late +13% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$29 vs −$14 · ×2.02 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.94 per $1 lost it wins $1.94
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

100d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$406
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses27 / 28
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage100d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 55 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $20 +$19 +93%
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car Jun 15 $20 +$14 +70%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $61 −$22 -37%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $59 +$58 +98%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $72 +$43 +60%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $31 +$42 +139%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $51 −$5 -9%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 24 $32 −$32 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $62 $0 +0%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 21 $42 +$52 +124%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 21 $32 −$32 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 18 $42 −$42 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $26 +$23 +89%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $32 +$23 +72%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $23 +$3 +11%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 13 $18 +$55 +296%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 11 $31 +$69 +226%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings - Who win May 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans May 10 $29 −$29 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings May 10 $34 −$34 -100%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 10 $11 +$47 +414%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings May 05 $12 −$10 -81%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who win May 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 03 $18 −$18 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 03 $22 −$22 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who win May 02 $11 +$11 +97%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals May 02 $12 +$31 +250%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 29 $11 +$25 +226%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Apr 26 $11 +$71 +649%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 23 $27 −$27 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals Apr 23 $34 −$34 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 23 $11 +$36 +325%
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 19 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 World Cup: England vs India Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 19 $11 −$11 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals Apr 19 $20 −$10 -50%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Ki Apr 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 19 $23 −$23 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi Apr 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 11 $26 +$101 +388%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans Apr 09 $12 +$14 +114%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 05 $20 +$15 +76%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Apr 04 $14 +$9 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 58¢ $20 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 51¢ $20 5d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 6¢ $3 17d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Rajasthan Royals 34¢ $38 19d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 52¢ $61 20d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 5¢ $3 21d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 47¢ $5 22d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 47¢ $51 22d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 4¢ $1 22d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 16¢ $10 22d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 52¢ $61 23d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals BUY Delhi Capitals 41¢ $31 25d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Mumbai Indians 32¢ $26 25d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 54¢ $25 25d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings BUY Lucknow Super Giants 9¢ $1 25d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings BUY Lucknow Super Giants 35¢ $31 26d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 17¢ $20 26d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 26¢ $11 26d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 48¢ $30 27d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Chennai Super Kings 21¢ $15 27d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Chennai Super Kings 33¢ $3 27d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 30¢ $3 29d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 30¢ $29 29d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants SELL Rajasthan Royals 100¢ $94 29d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Lucknow Super Giants 27¢ $11 29d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 31¢ $3 29d
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Rajasthan Royals 32¢ $28 29d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad 100¢ $50 30d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 52¢ $26 30d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru BUY Punjab Kings 17¢ $6 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 144 history records