Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x033a…0d50
politics · 3 markets active 584d ago
0.0score
+$3,114,401 +68%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,114,401 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,114,401
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage15d
Avg bet$1,525,207
Trades / day212.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 06 $4,316,445 +$3,093,958 +72%
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI Nov 02 $413 +$11 +3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 01 $258,763 +$20,432 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$3,114,390
other 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $197,026 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $406 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $98,227 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $4,173 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $84,573 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $176,170 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $325,474 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $1,850 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 61¢ $34,782 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $1,640 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $8 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $122,352 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $7 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $6,427 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $110 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $23,862 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $494 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $17,303 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $31,836 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $12,661 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $1,992 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $54,754 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $4,944 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $62 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $49 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $2,260 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $2,480 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $62 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $7,965 583d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 62¢ $4,960 583d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 3 +27.4% +15.3% 100% 33% +52.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover212.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.3% 33% +52.1%
10% +4.2% 33% +37.5%
15% ← realistic here -5.8% 33% +24.2%
20% -15.1% 33% +12.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3115 history records