Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0336…4bb0
sports · 500 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$40,543 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39,968 · open +$575
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,889
Realized+$39,968
Unrealized+$575
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses240 / 232
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$1,965
Open positions28
Markets (closed)472 / 500
History coverage105d
Avg bet$991
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 28 History 472 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8,430
7 days−$11,236
14 days+$2,317
30 days+$8,584
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 86¢ $520 $745 +$225 (+43%)
Spread: Saskatchewan Roughriders (-2.5) British Columbia Lions 54¢ 50¢ $570 $533 −$37 (-6%)
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 75¢ $255 $467 +$211 (+83%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 80¢ 80¢ $408 $411 +$3 (+1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 78¢ $272 $403 +$131 (+48%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 16¢ 32¢ $200 $394 +$194 (+97%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 29¢ 67¢ $145 $334 +$189 (+130%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 34¢ 63¢ $160 $296 +$136 (+85%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 27¢ 55¢ $144 $291 +$147 (+102%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 85¢ $185 $286 +$101 (+55%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 84¢ $196 $276 +$80 (+41%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 81¢ $182 $274 +$92 (+51%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 78¢ $186 $271 +$86 (+46%)
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 52¢ $147 $270 +$123 (+84%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 78¢ $185 $270 +$84 (+45%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 70¢ 83¢ $220 $261 +$41 (+19%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 74¢ $181 $261 +$80 (+44%)
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 78¢ 70¢ $279 $252 −$27 (-10%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 82¢ 90¢ $153 $167 +$14 (+9%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 84¢ 94¢ $140 $157 +$17 (+12%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 58¢ 62¢ $110 $118 +$8 (+8%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Los Angeles Thieves 78¢ 78¢ $86 $87 +$1 (+1%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 76¢ 82¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+9%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 89¢ 38¢ $35 $15 −$20 (-57%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $1,100 $12 −$1,088 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $173 +$205 +119%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3,066 +$3,387 +110%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $6,565 +$6,121 +93%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $561 +$145 +26%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $609 −$600 -98%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $104 −$103 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $95 +$79 +83%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $80 +$23 +29%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $252 −$248 -98%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $1,835 −$1,800 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,638 +$929 +57%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $506 +$292 +58%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $202 +$110 +55%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $202 +$131 +65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $148 −$147 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $609 −$600 -98%
Boisson vs. Sierra: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 10 $66 +$99 +149%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $288 −$285 -99%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $20 +$14 +70%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4,181 +$458 +11%
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $400 +$8 +2%
Boulter vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 09 $43 +$57 +134%
Denver Outlaws vs. Carolina Chaos Jun 09 $41 +$63 +155%
Will Chiefs win? Jun 09 $36 −$35 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5) Jun 09 $25 −$24 -98%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 09 $18 +$47 +264%
Siegemund vs. Jones: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 08 $113 −$111 -98%
Siegemund vs. Jones: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 08 $85 −$84 -98%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5) Jun 08 $84 −$82 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $9 −$9 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 08 $70 +$36 +52%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 07 $620 +$1,024 +165%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 07 $1,013 +$2,229 +220%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) Jun 07 $2 +$6 +262%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $203 −$200 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 07 $389 −$382 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $4,995 −$4,896 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $47 −$46 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2,049 +$1,911 +93%
Spread: Saski Baskonia (-3.5) Jun 07 $14 −$14 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $153 +$161 +105%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $9 +$6 +60%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13,371 −$13,177 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5,025 −$4,894 -97%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 07 $1,039 −$1,022 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $240 −$235 -98%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $202 +$92 +46%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $439 −$430 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$33,214
other 23% +$10,903
culture 2% −$2,664
world 2% −$910
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Saskatchewan Roughriders (-2.5) BUY British Columbia Lions 54¢ $578 38m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Under 19¢ $123 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 80¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 80¢ $400 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Under 18¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 46¢ $102 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 46¢ $1,016 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 83¢ $101 12h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 51¢ $6,565 12h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 49¢ $609 14h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $561 16h
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Toronto KOI 64¢ $104 16h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Los Angeles Thieves 78¢ $87 16h
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 78¢ $280 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Under 40¢ $252 36h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 54¢ $95 39h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $35 42h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 35¢ $816 42h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 35¢ $1,020 42h
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 76¢ $30 47h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $80 2d
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 27¢ $147 2d
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $260 2d
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $150 2d
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $163 2d
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $188 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $276 2d
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $198 2d
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 70¢ $222 2d
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $184 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +2.9% -6.9% 51% 49% -29.6%
≤30d 160 +11.5% +0.9% 54% 49% -4.5%
≤90d 361 -1.2% -10.6% 51% 44% -3.0%
all 472 -4.7% -13.7% 51% 44% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 44% -2.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 38% -11.4%
15% -29.5% 32% -20.0%
20% -36.4% 27% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,889.37 · official $6,889.42 (match) · 1427 history records