Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:33:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0334…45d8
crypto · 1751 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1559 / 318
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1877 / 1751
History coverage13d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day150.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1877 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$762
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $60 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1300 -11.0% -19.5% 79% 33% -11.4%
≤30d 1877 -7.5% -16.3% 83% 33% -9.6%
≤90d 1877 -7.5% -16.3% 83% 33% -9.6%
all 1877 -7.5% -16.3% 83% 33% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover150.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 33% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 6% -18.2%
15% -31.6% 2% -26.1%
20% -38.3% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records