Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:01:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0325…77d2
crypto · 1684 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$209 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$209 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$209
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1286 / 402
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1688 / 1684
History coverage61d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1688 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$65
14 days+$65
30 days+$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$13 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$28 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$21 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $26 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $26 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 44% -7.3%
≤30d 131 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 44% -7.3%
≤90d 1688 -0.8% -10.2% 76% 55% -10.1%
all 1688 -0.8% -10.2% 76% 55% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 55% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 34% -18.7%
15% -26.7% 22% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 14% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records