trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -61.5% | -65.2% | 12% | 12% | -21.1% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -57.0% | -61.1% | 17% | 11% | -15.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -57.0% | -61.1% | 17% | 11% | -15.2% |
| all | 27 | -34.0% | -40.3% | 30% | 22% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.3% | 22% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -46.0% | 22% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -51.2% | 22% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -56.0% | 15% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $29 | $31 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Brazil | 73¢ | 72¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-43%) |
| Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 1 Morocco? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 1 Morocco? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-35%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -90% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia? | Jun 19 | $14 | +$10 | +70% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$22 | +54% |
| Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$4 | -74% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$4 | -81% |
| Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$2 | -39% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Australia? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $31 | −$7 | -24% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$5 | -50% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | May 31 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $50 | −$21 | -42% |
| Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 02 | $5 | −$4 | -72% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $30 | −$23 | -77% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 01 | $10 | +$26 | +257% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Oct 31 | $40 | +$17 | +42% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | Oct 30 | $15 | +$8 | +52% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | Oct 30 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Oct 30 | $50 | +$22 | +45% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) | Oct 29 | $90 | +$5 | +5% |