trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $229 | $229 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $368 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $399 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $397 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $408 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $587 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $161 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $349 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $381 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $188 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $337 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $329 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $162 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $368 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $409 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $180 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Feb 11 | $15 | −$12 | -82% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Feb 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2025? | Nov 21 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 17 | $49 | $0 | -0% |