Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:35:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02ed…f151
crypto · 99 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$11 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses82 / 16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)98 / 99
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day22.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 18¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$8 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$9 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +1.5% -8.2% 84% 37% -6.8%
≤30d 98 +1.5% -8.2% 84% 37% -6.8%
≤90d 98 +1.5% -8.2% 84% 37% -6.8%
all 98 +1.5% -8.2% 84% 37% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 37% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 18% -15.7%
15% -25.0% 9% -23.8%
20% -32.3% 5% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.42 · official $0.42 (match) · 287 history records